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Argus Methanol Outlook

 

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7/28 更新情報

                  

                      

OUTLOOK

Near-term outlook 
Near term methanol price levels are likely at/near the bottom...

Longer-term outlook
Methanol prices remain vulnerable to supply-side issues...

         

GLOBAL ENERGY AND ECONOMY

Crude Oil 
Crude oil markets have been on a roller coaster ride as participants remain concerned about market oversupply in the face of increased production in Libya and Nigeria, where disruptions to oil production have diminished and oil exports are rising...

Economy 
The monthly US unemployment figures for June reported solid job growth, adding 222,000 jobs, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.4pc, up by 0.1pc as new college graduates enter the workforce...

Natural gas 
Natural gas prices at the Henry Hub July month to date are trading lower than June as storage injections have been close to average...

GLOBAL SUPPLY AND DEMAND

We reach mid-summer with industry methanol demand still adequately covered by supply...                           

                                

GLOBAL PRICING OUTLOOK

The short-lived fly-up in methanol prices early in the year saw significant correction as the first quarter ended and continue to hover in what we believe is the “bottom of the cycle”...

North America
Posted US benchmark prices have been on the decline since the March highs, settling in July at 108¢/USG (SCC, nominal $359/t) and 113¢/USG (MX, nominal $376/t), respectively...

Europe
The Q3’17 benchmark settled at €315/t (nominal $343/t, 106¢/USG)...

Asia-Pacific
Espoused often, China’s MTO sector remains the center of attention for the industry...

                      

                        

DATA 

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